Most existing investors are not panic-selling. Under the proposed grandfathering design, an existing property keeps its 50% discount whether the owner sells next month, in 2030, or in 2040. Selling now to “lock in” the rate solves a problem that does not exist. Investors who have other reasons to sell — exiting the market, life-stage shifts, a specific underperforming asset — are continuing those decisions on their original timetable.
Refinancing instead of selling is the conversation that's come up most often in Danny's recent client work. An investor who's built equity in an investment property over 10+ years often has more options through refinancing — releasing equity to fund another purchase, restructuring loan splits to better match income — than through selling and triggering the gain. The proposed reforms make this conversation more pointed, not less.
Prospective buyers with finance already in train are running the timing math. For someone who was already planning to buy this calendar year, the difference between locking in 50% on a long-term hold versus taking whatever rate is legislated post-Budget is meaningful — the calculator above projects it. For someone who wasn’t planning to buy, none of the above moves the case enough to overcome deposit, serviceability, or lender considerations.
Ownership-structure review is on the table for investors with multiple properties or complex family arrangements. Whether the next purchase should sit in an individual name, a trust, or an SMSF affects both the discount available on a future gain and the serviceability assessment a lender will run today. SMSFs already receive a 33.3% discount and are not affected by the proposed reform; companies receive no discount either way.
Stress-testing cashflow under reduced concessions makes sense for any investor with a leveraged portfolio. If the after-tax return on a held investment property tightens materially, the loan structure that worked at the old rate may need adjustment.